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Bitcoin dominance refers to the ratio between the market capitalization of BTC to the total market cap of the crypto market. Learn how to utilize this metric to make a solid investment decision.

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With an exponential increase in the number of available cryptocurrencies, traders are constantly seeking new tools and indicators to discover trends in the crypto market. One such indicator is the Bitcoin (BTC) dominance ratio, which is primarily used to spot possible trends in the 

 market, bull markets and Bitcoin rallies to identify trading opportunities.

In this article, we’ll be discussing Bitcoin dominance, how it’s derived, factors affecting it — and the potential trading opportunities you can find by using it.

Bitcoin dominance is the ratio between the 

 (market cap) of Bitcoin to the market cap of the entire cryptocurrency market. It’s also known as the Bitcoin dominance ratio and Bitcoin dominance index. When we compare this ratio to the trend of Bitcoin itself, we can learn more about opportunities the current market environment offers.

What Is Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization?

For a better understanding of Bitcoin dominance, let’s start with market cap. This term refers to the total market value of a cryptocurrency, and can be calculated by multiplying the number of coins or tokens in circulation by their current market price. For example, given that there are 19,348,206 bitcoins in circulation, and that each Bitcoin is priced at $29,992.29, the total Bitcoin market cap can be calculated using the following equation:

Total Bitcoin market cap = Number of bitcoins in circulation × Bitcoin price

Bitcoin dominance can be calculated by taking Bitcoin’s market cap divided by the entire cryptocurrency market cap, thereby giving a percentage value.

At the time of writing (Apr 18, 2023), Bitcoin dominance is calculated to be 45.27% based on the following figures:

This percentage determines the value of Bitcoin to that of the total cryptocurrency market.

Relationship Between Bitcoin Dominance and Market Cap

Bitcoin dominance uses Bitcoin’s market cap and the total cryptocurrency market cap in its calculation.

It’s straightforward to determine and chart both of the figures used in this ratio. Below, we see the Bitcoin market cap (left chart), the total cryptocurrency market cap (middle chart) and Bitcoin dominance (right chart).

Generally speaking, the shape and direction of the total crypto market cap will follow that of Bitcoin. This is partly due to Bitcoin’s influence over the entire crypto market, since it’s the first, largest and most widely recognized cryptocurrency. Hence, when users look to enter the cryptocurrency market, they typically begin by buying Bitcoin because it’s the most popular cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin started off with a dominance of approximately 99% when it was first created in 2009. Since then, this value has fluctuated dramatically. Here are some of the key factors that affect Bitcoin dominance.

Bitcoin’s market cap represents the numerator of the Bitcoin dominance ratio. Since the number of bitcoins in circulation is fairly steady because 

 can be mined, the biggest influence on Bitcoin’s market cap is its price.

The relationship between Bitcoin’s price and market cap can be seen in the chart above.

Notice that the market cap closely follows and resembles the movement in Bitcoin’s price. As Bitcoin’s price trends higher, its market cap trends higher proportionately.

However, just because Bitcoin’s market cap is trending higher doesn’t mean that Bitcoin dominance is increasing. Bitcoin’s market cap is just the numerator of the ratio. The speed at which Bitcoin’s market cap is moving is compared to the second biggest influencer of the ratio: the altcoin market cap.

The term “altcoins” refers to any cryptocurrency other than Bitcoin. Unlike Bitcoin, which was created to facilitate peer-to-peer payment, altcoins are created for a much more diverse set of use cases. Examples of altcoin use cases include 

As the demand for cryptocurrencies increases, more users are entering the cryptocurrency market by minting 

. When these stablecoins are minted, their market caps increase, further increasing the total altcoin market cap.

In addition, during volatile market conditions, users may choose to take profit and keep their capital in stablecoins. They may also keep their capital in the form of stablecoins to prepare for deployment into the markets, which decreases Bitcoin dominance.

Bitcoin dominance tends to decrease during bull markets because users are generally more risk-averse and speculative, causing them to deploy their capital into altcoins to capture profits from the upward price movements.

Conversely, users may choose to denominate their assets in Bitcoin during a bear market, looking toward Bitcoin as a form of safe haven. This increases Bitcoin dominance.

When new cryptocurrencies are created and enter the cryptocurrency market, they inherently increase the altcoin market cap. Hence,  Bitcoin dominance will decrease slightly whenever such cryptocurrencies are launched.

There are many ways to use BTC dominance to trade. By understanding the ratio between Bitcoin and altcoins, you can identify which category has a stronger trend in order to look for trading opportunities. You can also keep an eye out for the extreme values of Bitcoin dominance to trade.

“Altcoin Season” describes a period when the price of altcoins increases in comparison to that of Bitcoin. Altcoin Season typically follows after Bitcoin has experienced a significant increase in price, and investors look toward diverting their profits to other cryptos, which kick-starts Altcoin Season.

First, determine the trend of BTC dominance. You can use 

Second, determine the price trend of Bitcoin in a similar time frame.

Finally, use this table to help you determine a strategic bias.

Once the bias has been established, you can identify trading opportunities using 

Strategy 2: Trading Extreme High and Low Bitcoin Dominance Levels

 boom) and 2021 (DeFi Summer), Bitcoin dominance reached a high of 75% and a low of 35%. These two values are regarded as the extreme historical Bitcoin dominance levels.

One strategy that traders can employ would be to trade these extremes. When Bitcoin dominance inches toward 75%, there might be an expectation that BTC’s price will fall soon. On the other hand, when Bitcoin dominance decreases and reaches close to historically low levels, you can expect an imminent change in Bitcoin price movement to the upside.

You can use the table above as a guide to determine which markets to focus on when BTC dominance is at risk for a reversal.

Bitcoin dominance seldom reaches these historic highs and lows. However, when the ratio does reach extreme levels, it can offer some good trading opportunities. It’s important to manage your risk because the ratio has been known to breach these levels.

When Bitcoin was first launched in 2009, the cryptocurrency market was still a small one with relatively few cryptocurrencies available. At that time, Bitcoin dominance was approximately 99%. After four years, in 2013, more cryptocurrencies started to launch, pushing Bitcoin dominance down slightly to 94%.

 kicked off an initial coin offering (ICO) boom in which thousands of cryptocurrencies were launched into the market. This increase in altcoin market cap was further accentuated, given widespread market participation in such ICOs. 

With increasing cryptocurrency prices (from increased user demand), the altcoin market cap rocketed, dropping Bitcoin dominance to 38% in 2018. 

Following the drastic decrease in Bitcoin dominance, a bear market followed. Many altcoins from the ICO boom died out, decreasing the altcoin market cap. In the meantime, more people rotated their capital back into Bitcoin, seen as a safe haven in the bear market. These market conditions contributed to recovering Bitcoin dominance.

DeFi Summer arrived in 2021, and the yields offered by the altcoin market prompted traders to shift their capital into altcoins. This drastically increased the altcoin market cap, reducing Bitcoin dominance to below 50%.

Bitcoin (BTC) Dominance: How It Changes the Way You Trade Crypto

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