Bybit X Block Scholes Institution Report: Drivers and sentiments behind Ether’s recent breakout and how far it can go

Key Highlights:

Bitcoin dominated the crypto bull runs of 2015-18 and 2019-22, but both cycles eventually shifted capital into altcoins, creating ‘Altseason’—a period of altcoin outperformance. Ethereum, as the second-largest cryptocurrency, has typically led this rotation. However, the current cycle (2022-present) is unique, lacking a significant shift from Bitcoin to Ethereum, resulting in no sustained outperformance for ETH.

Historically, ETH surged from $8 to $1,448 between January 2017 and 2018, and from $738 to $4,800 by November 2021. Ethereum’s recent rally, beginning on May 7, 2025, raised questions about its 50% rise in a week and whether it signals an altseason. This report analyzes the current ETH breakout and contextualizes this rally against historical trends.