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Bybit X Block Scholes Crypto Derivatives Analytics Report (Oct 30, 2024): Derivatives See Patterns Reminiscent of BTC Spot ETF Launch in January 2024

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Crypto Insights
blockscholes
Nov 1, 2024
3 min read
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Key Highlights:

Our weekly crypto derivatives analytics report dives into macro events, the current state of crypto and trading signals from spot trading volume, and futures, options and perpetual contracts.

As the U.S. election nears, short-term implied volatility has risen to multi-month highs, significantly outpacing the longer end of the term structure and causing a notable inversion. This shift indicates heightened positioning activity ahead of the election early next week, similar to the pattern seen before the Bitcoin Spot ETF launch in January 2024. 

Meanwhile, ETH derivatives suggest that the second-largest cryptocurrency is likely to maintain its trend of underperformance amid event risk, lagging behind BTC across all metrics and carrying a 10-point volatility premium over it.

Please check out the report’s highlights.

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