Apr 21, 2025: Our weekly Institutional Insights explores the latest market developments — market performance, industry news, exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows, trending topics, upcoming events and token unlocks — to help you supercharge your crypto trading.

 explores the latest market developments — market performance, industry news, exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows, trending topics, upcoming events and token unlocks — to help you supercharge your crypto trading.

Weekly highlight — Trump wants to fire Powell? 

US president Donald Trump is actively considering firing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, following Trump's public criticism of Powell for not moving quickly enough to reduce interest rates. National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett confirmed that the administration is examining this option, suggesting that Powell's actions have politically favored Democrats. Hassett argued that the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates shortly after Trump took office was intended to undermine the economic impact of the tax cuts implemented during his administration, which were deemed inflationary. He further criticized the Fed for not addressing inflation concerns stemming from federal spending under President Biden, implying a lack of accountability.

During a recent press conference, Trump conveyed his dissatisfaction with Powell, asserting that if he wanted to remove him, it could happen "real fast." While he did not explicitly state his intention to dismiss Powell, his remarks highlighted the growing tensions between the White House and the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy. Hassett defended Trump's frustrations, advocating for a focus on economic policy rather than interpersonal conflicts. This situation underscores the complex dynamics between the executive branch and the central bank, as Trump navigates economic challenges leading up to the next election.

Weekly crypto highlight — XRP ETF coming

HashKey Capital has officially launched the HashKey XRP Tracker Fund, marking the first investment fund in Asia designed specifically to track the performance of XRP, the digital asset integral to Ripple's global payment ecosystem. This fund is aimed at professional investors and offers a unique opportunity to gain exposure to XRP without the complexities of direct asset management. Investors can subscribe through cash and in-kind options, with the fund providing monthly liquidity.

Ripple, as an early backer of the fund, is looking to enhance its strategic partnership with HashKey Capital, which already manages Hong Kong–listed spot ETFs for Bitcoin and Ethereum. This collaboration not only solidifies Ripple's presence in the Asian market, but also opens avenues for future financial products, such as the potential tokenization of a money market fund on the XRP Ledger. Fiona Murray, Ripple's Managing Director for the Asia-Pacific region, highlighted that this partnership is part of a broader strategy to introduce more regulated cryptocurrency products for institutional investors in the region, aiming to foster a more robust crypto landscape in Asia.

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Weekly Institutional Insights: Trump’s desire to fire Powell might induce volatility; XRP ETF coming

Hong Kong's Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) has approved a new Ethereum ETF with staking capabilities, allowing institutional investors to earn staking rewards.

Daily top performer — Pyth Network (PYTH)

The S&P 500 dropped 1.5% to 5,282.70 this week, down 5.9% in April and 10% year-to-date, led by tech losses. Real estate and energy outperformed, while political pressure on Fed Chair Powell and inflation concerns weighed on sentiment. Gold dipped 0.6% to $3,319 after a record high, as Powell’s stagflation warning tempered its rally. Despite the pullback, the uptrend remains intact. The Coindesk Indices, which tracks the broader crypto market, are up by 0.77%, with Bitcoin and Ether rising 0.64% and 0.72%, respectively, over the past 24 hours. Trade these markets and more with up to 500x leverage on Bybit MT5 using this 

Today's top performer is PYTH, up 10.1%, following the launch of Pyth Entropy for secure on-chain random number generation by Soneium.

Pyth Network (PYTH),  is a blockchain oracle system that delivers real-time crypto price data to blockchains, enabling smart contracts to react to market changes. Soneium 

 Pyth Entropy, a tool for securely generating random numbers on-chain. Two apps, HandsNFT AI and 2p2e, are already utilizing Pyth Entropy to create unpredictable and engaging experiences.

Check out the latest prices, charts, and data of 

Hong Kong's Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) has approved a new Ethereum ETF with staking capabilities, allowing institutional investors to earn staking rewards. This approval follows recent changes to local laws, with China Asset Management (ChinaAMC) partnering with OSL Digital Securities to launch the ETF by May 15. The ETF will offer exposure to Ethereum staking, transforming it from a passive investment into an active participant in the Ethereum network. The staking process is powered by Kiln, with OSL providing custody and insurance services. The rewards will contribute to the ETF's net asset value, benefiting shareholders.

Yesterday, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $25.9M in inflows, all from non-GBTC funds, while GBTC recorded no flow.

" and a points campaign called Drops, where users can earn points—potentially leading to an airdrop—by engaging with Linera content on X. To join, sign up on 

, complete tasks like joining Discord and interacting on X, then enter the campaign. Keep engaging to earn more points, but avoid spamming.

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Hong Kong approves Ethereum ETF with staking rewards, boosting institutional participation

Our weekly crypto derivatives analytics report delves into macro events; the current state of crypto and trading signals from spot trading volume; and futures, options and perpetual contracts.

US president Donald Trump’s tariff policies are influencing both crypto and US equities. Last week, BTC and the S&P 500 rallied due to a 90-day pause in reciprocal tariffs (excluding China). Equities are slightly below their April 9 highs, while BTC is holding above $83K. Its implied volatility term structure has normalized, and the volatility skew has improved from last week’s bias toward out-of-the-money puts, though it hasn't fully shifted toward calls.

Please check out the report’s highlights.

Tariff pause briefly brings back trading volume

Since our last report, open interest surged on Apr 9, 2025, as crypto spot prices rose after President Trump’s temporary tariff pause, accompanied by a nearly $10B increase in trade volumes. However, trade volumes have since returned to mid-March levels, and open interest has declined from the April 9 highs. The initial price spike indicates the tariff pause surprised the markets, but the subsequent pullback reflects concerns over remaining tariffs.

After being inverted for much of April due to trade policy shocks and macro headwinds, BTC’s term structure has disinverted, with front-end volatility dropping significantly this week. Call and put volumes have been balanced, with calls slightly exceeding puts most days. Apr 9, 2025, reflected mixed market sentiment, as both call and put volumes rose, but puts were higher overall. Open interest remains greater in calls, and has increased slightly since last week, reaching its highest level for the month (more than double from the beginning of April).

Despite a rally on Apr 9, 2025 that brought ETH close to $1.7K, traders sought downside protection, leading to higher volumes in put contracts as compared to calls. Since then, ETHUSDT options volumes have declined, but open interest remains strongly weighted toward calls with later expirations, which have increased since last week. After being inverted for much of April, ETH’s term structure of volatility has flattened, with volatility compressing around the 70% mark across tenors.

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Bybit X Block Scholes crypto derivatives analytics report (Apr 16, 2025): Bitcoin put bias has moderated, but not yet shifted to calls

KiloEx (KILO) is a user-friendly DEX for perpetuals trading, offering high leverage, rewards, LSTfi integration and a robust multi-chain ecosystem.

 trading is one of the most lucrative areas for cryptocurrency enthusiasts if you know how to navigate the sometimes complex world of these contracts. Unlike standard futures, perpetual futures contracts have no expiration date, allowing traders to hold onto their positions as long as they prefer. You only exit a crypto perpetual (or “perp”) contract when you feel it’s the best time to execute your long or short trade. The lack of an expiration period makes these contracts attractive for traders.

Unfortunately, many crypto perpetual contract trading platforms are far from user-friendly. It seems like many perpetual crypto exchanges assume that only professional traders dabble in these contracts, and along with that assumption goes a second one — that these pros can navigate even the most complex user interfaces. As a result, finding a user-friendly perps platform is a challenge in the world of crypto trading.

 (DEX) that aims to change the status quo by providing a user-friendly environment for traders. Its platform also offers high leverage ratios, integration into the wider liquid staking token finance (LSTfi) ecosystem and generous reward programs for referrers and affiliates.

Thanks to its numerous benefits, this DEX caters to the needs of traders at all levels of expertise who are interested in crypto perpetuals. Operational since mid-2023, KiloEx launched its native token, KILO, in March 2025 to further enhance its platform's reward, staking and governance mechanisms.

 (BNB) that specializes in crypto perpetual futures trading.

 The platform prides itself on offering a user-friendly interface, high 

 ratios of up to 100x, multi-token vaults with generous APYs and a number of reward programs for referrers and affiliates.

Co-founded by Joey Ni (CEO) and Charles Gong (COO), KiloEx was originally launched on BNB Chain's mainnet in June 2023. As of mid-April 2025, the platform has additionally expanded its service coverage to five 

 (B2). This coverage allows KiloEx to access the ecosystems of three leading blockchain platforms — 

Manta, Base and Taiko are Ethereum-focused Layer 2 solutions, while opBNB is an efficient and low-cost optimistic rollup for the BNB Chain, while B

 is a platform linked to Bitcoin that acts as a major Bitcoin DeFi (BTCFi) enabler.

Because it’s a BNB-native platform, KiloEx's industry footprint is most notable within this blockchain's broader ecosystem. In fact, as Apr 17, 2025, KiloEx is the top DEX on the opBNB network by 

Using Layer 2 chains allows KiloEx to offer its users fast and low-cost transactions, which isn't always possible on a typical Layer 1 network. It's true that BNB Chain, the primary Layer 1 used by KiloEx, generally has much lower gas fees than Ethereum, the industry's leading 

 chain that’s notorious for its exorbitant costs. However, KiloEx's partner Layer 2 networks help drive costs and transaction times even lower. BNB Chain's current average gas fee is slightly over $0.10, while the opBNB Layer 2 rollup's comparable fee is only about $0.005.

In 2024, the platform introduced one of its most innovative features — the 

, which allows liquidity providers to stake multiple assets to earn high yields. That same year, KiloEx significantly expanded its partnership network, becoming an active player in the LSTFi ecosystem. LSTFi is a new stream within the DeFi industry that allows you to use 

 (LSTs) on various protocols for additional yield.

Having solidified its market presence in 2024, the project launched its native token, KILO, in March 2025. However, in mid-April 2025, KiloEx 

 and halted trading on April 15 as a risk management measure, pending investigation of the damage.

The Hybrid Vault is among the most innovative features offered by KiloEx. Essentially, it acts similarly to liquidity pools on other exchanges. Liquidity providers can contribute their crypto funds to the vault to support trading activity on the DEX and earn interest on their contributions, based on the fees earned by the protocol.

You can contribute a mix of coins to a KiloEx vault. Supported assets include 

Depending upon trading activity and the mix of coins contributed, you can earn APYs as high as 30%, making KiloEx one of the most lucrative choices for liquidity providers in this niche.

KiloEx uses a health factor calculation for this type of vault to keep your funds and the entire ecosystem safe. Based on the health factor score of your contribution to the vault, your funds could be liquidated if their value drops dangerously low.

Discounts are also offered for fixed-term deposits for established assets, such as USDT and USDC. Withdrawals for the fixed deposits are processed upon maturity, while all other withdrawals are processed within one to three "epochs," with each epoch on the platform lasting about three days. Thus, depending upon your contributed funds, you’ll wait anywhere from three to nine days to receive your crypto back.

The KiloEx platform also runs a generous referral program under which you can earn rewards for referring your friends to the platform. The amount you earn depends upon the trading volumes generated by the people whom you’ve referred. Additionally, your referees to the DEX can also benefit from fee rebates, again depending upon the volume of trade they generate.

There’s a tiered system, comprising nine levels, based on which you and your friends earn commissions and rebates. Under this system, even those referred traders whose monthly volume is at the lowest level (below $5,000) can still benefit from 5% rebates, while you also earn a 10% commission.

The table below shows the structure of this referral system with percentages for commission and rebates based on monthly trading volumes.

KiloEx offers an affiliate program for key opinion leaders (KOLs) with a certain level of social media following and influence in the crypto market. KOLs may apply to join the program by filling out an application, which is then considered by the project team within 48 hours.

To qualify for affiliate status, a KOL must have: 

Approved affiliates are provided a link to the platform, and are encouraged to invite their followers to trade on the KiloEx. If they invite at least five followers who trade at sufficient levels, the affiliates can start earning their commission. KOLs can earn up to 55% commission, depending upon the referred followers' trading activity.

KiloEx’s native utility token, KILO, is a 

 asset launched on BNB Chain. It’s used on the platform for governance, fee discounts on trades, rewards via 

, liquidity provision incentives and staking.

KILO is a supply-capped asset, with a maximum and total supply of 1 billion. The token’s supply allocation shares are shown in the chart below.

xKILO is an escrowed version of the KILO token. You can convert KILO to xKILO at a fixed rate of 1:1. The primary utility of xKILO is to provide boosted liquidity provision, which makes it possible to receive staking rewards. By locking xKILO on the platform, you can access special discounts and other benefits reserved for VIP-level users. Holding xKILO also grants you governance power to vote and influence the platform's future direction.

Unlike KILO, xKILO is nontransferable and isn’t tradable on the secondary market. The only ways to obtain xKILO are either to buy it with KILO or receive it via airdrops.

Platform users can earn points to qualify for KILO airdrops. Typically, you accumulate points by trading, depositing funds, referring others to the DEX, checking in to the platform and completing other specified eligible activities.

The project’s initial airdrop, Genesis Season, had an eligibility snapshot taken back in July 2024. Under the currently running airdrop campaign, Pioneer Season, users can earn points to receive KILO tokens for 180 days past the token generation event (TGE) in late March 2025 (i.e., until late September 2025).

Additionally, you can earn KILO tokens on Bybit simply by participating in the 

 event and holding BNB in your account. Every day at various random times, Bybit will take snapshots of your BNB holdings in your Funding and Unified Trading Accounts to calculate the number of KILO tokens you’re eligible for. The campaign will run through Apr 25, 2025, 11:59PM UTC, and you’ll have your share of KILO airdropped seven days after this date.

 market as a swap pair with USDT. If you don't have a Bybit account, you can easily 

, and access opportunities across hundreds of trading pairs and crypto products on the exchange's Spot and Derivatives markets.

As of Apr 17, 2025, the KILO token is trading at $0.039, which is 76.2% lower than its ATH of $0.1648 on Mar 27, 2025, and 17.3% higher than its ATL of $0.03344 on Apr 12, 2025.

Long-term price forecasts for KILO are mostly bullish. CoinCodex 

 at $0.0387 in 2027 and then rise to $0.135 in 2030 while PricePredictions 

When it comes to perpetuals trading, both traditional 

 (CEXs) and DEXs have often struggled to offer an intuitive trading experience. In contrast, KiloEx has made user-friendliness a cornerstone of its operations. With KiloEx, you can enjoy a streamlined trading process, access market trends info for thorough research, get an overview of the cryptocurrency market and conduct other activities via an interface that’s designed for anyone, irrespective of their familiarity with decentralized trading.

The platform also boasts a diverse range of other benefits not easily found in the world of perpetuals-based cryptocurrency trading — generous leveraged trading options, trading fee discounts, lightning-fast trades, low trading fees and an innovative Hybrid Vault system. Many of these benefits are thanks to KiloEx's collaboration with several Layer 2 decentralized platforms, which provide the technical infrastructure to enable low costs and fast order processing.

If you’re a crypto perpetuals enthusiast, KiloEx is definitely a platform to peruse.

Intermediate

KiloEx.png

KiloEx (KILO): More than a DEX — a rewarding ecosystem

Candlestick

Trading

Is the crypto sell off slowing down? Look out for bullish reversals by including falling wedge patterns in your trading arsenal.

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The falling wedge is a bullish price pattern that represents a story about the market in which bulls are preparing for another push. In cryptocurrency trading, buying an asset from a logical position is more likely to provide success than randomly buying an asset without applying 

. Therefore, keeping falling wedge patterns as a main pattern in your trading checklist is a great way to make money from the crypto market. This article explains the falling wedge pattern’s bullish indication in crypto charts, along with its use as both trend continuation and reversal pattern.

Is a Falling Wedge Pattern Bullish or Bearish?

A falling wedge pattern is bullish, although it appears after a bearish trend. It signifies that bulls have lost their momentum, and bears have temporarily taken control over the price. As a result, the price starts to make new lower lows, but at a corrective pace. 

Crypto prices rarely move in a straight line. Rather, like most assets they tend to zigzag, with swing lows and highs forming, even if the price remains within a trend. Therefore, investors often experience temporary bearish correction within bullish trends, giving rise to patterns like the wedge, triangle, flag or channel. 

These are signs that buying pressures are being reduced due to profit-taking. The uniqueness of the falling wedge pattern is that it can produce a higher accuracy of trade than a traditional descending channel.

Although both the descending channel and falling wedge are bullish reversal patterns, the falling wedge has better accuracy than the descending channel, whose price corrects lower by maintaining an equal distance between swing highs and lows. 

On the other hand, with the falling wedge, swing levels squeeze toward each other, which is a sign of a deeper correction. Before making a trading decision, investors should focus on where the major trend is heading and how volumes are performing.

Let’s look at the pros and cons of the falling wedge pattern:

A price pattern on a cryptocurrency chart isn’t randomly formed. Instead, it represents a story about buyers’ and sellers’ activity. Likewise, the falling wedge pattern, which occurs after a bearish trend, represents a narrative about what bulls and bears are doing — and what they might do next. 

A bullish trend forms after a significant event by encouraging buyers to long an asset with the hope of future price appreciation. However, it’s often difficult for investors to hold this position for a long time. They usually book a profit after getting some benefit, often adding more positions when the price is discounted. As a result, the bearish wedge pattern that we see after a bullish trend is partially the result of buyers’ profit-taking. Once the profit-taking is over and the price finds a dip, investors will begin to buy again. 

The trading approach with the falling wedge pattern is to find when the correction is over and the bullish trend is likely to resume. The global financial market is driven by institutional traders who need liquidity. There have to be enough buyers to sell and enough sellers to buy. Therefore, patterns like the falling wedge indicate that institutional traders who’ve created the bullish trend might open another buying position, resuming the trend after a discount.

The above image demonstrates a falling wedge pattern appearing after a bearish trend. Bitcoin’s price moves sharply lower from $64,000 to $30,000, but despite strong selling pressure, it doesn’t break below $30,000. As a result, the price remains corrective and forms a falling wedge. In this pattern, a new lower low and lower high are formed as the price remains within converging trend line support and resistance. 

Besides swing levels, investors should monitor how the volume is changing. As the price moves to a consolidation phase, the volume should reduce due to less trading activity. However, once the breakout happens, it should be supported by higher volume.

The above image shows the same BTC/USD chart with the trading volume added. Here we can see that the volume is higher at the beginning of the falling wedge pattern, but volume bars start to move lower as the wedge pattern extends. Once the price moves up from the wedge pattern with a bullish breakout, the volume begins to rise again.

A falling wedge is a reversal pattern, but investors can use it as both reversal and as continuation of a trend.

The price of a cryptocurrency moves by creating swing lows and highs. As a result, investors experience minor bearish swings within a major bullish trend. Therefore, a reversal from a minor swing level is ultimately a continuation of the major trend.

In the above image, the major bullish trend is marked in green where the price is moving up by creating higher highs. However, when we look inside the bearish correction, we see the falling wedge pattern begin to form, with the major trend resuming after a breakout. Therefore, although the falling wedge pattern appears after a bearish trend, it’s still within the long-term bullish trend.

The above image gives a practical example of a wedge pattern as the continuation of a bullish trend on a real chart. Here, the BTC/USDT market trend is bullish, when a falling wedge breakout from the minor bearish swing resumes the trend and makes new, higher highs. Therefore, the trend continuation is confirmed once the price moves above the falling wedge with a bullish candle.

The image above shows how to open a buy trade from the falling wedge breakout. In this method, the buying setup is valid as long as the price remains above the wedge pattern’s low. In addition, the stop-loss should be below the swing low, with some buffer. 

As the falling wedge pattern is a strong bullish continuation pattern, it often produces more profits. Therefore, traders can hold the buy position until the price reaches any significant resistance level.

With cryptocurrency trading, a falling wedge reversal pattern from a significant price level may provide more profits than it would in traditional markets. However, finding the right pattern from the ideal location is important. 

The falling wedge pattern appears in a swing low, indicating that bears are losing their momentum. Therefore, the first sign of a highly profitable wedge pattern is to find it after a considerable downward movement. It’s hard to determine whether the bearish trend will continue or reverse, so finding the pattern at a bottom increases the probability of a trend reversal. 

Look at the chart to see a strong downtrend at the beginning which is losing momentum at the bottom.

The above image explains how we can measure the strength of a bearish trend by looking at swing lows. If bears become unable to make new lower lows with a long distance, it’s a sign that they’re losing momentum.

Therefore, to trade the falling wedge pattern as a major market reversal strategy, we need to ensure the following confirmations:

Let’s see how the falling wedge pattern works on a real chart:

In the above daily LTC/USDT chart, the price collapses from the $400.00 resistance level but loses its momentum at $105.00. Meanwhile, the price forms a wedge pattern, as supported by the decrease in volume. As a result, once the bullish breakout occurs, it shifts the trend from bearish to bullish.

The trading approach of the falling wedge reversal pattern is similar to the continuation system. The trading entry becomes valid when the price moves above the falling wedge pattern with a strong bullish breakout. Again, the stop-loss should be below the support level, with some buffer. Trading in higher time frames often allows traders to hold the gain for years. However, taking some profits from strong resistance levels is important.

The above image shows how to open the buy trade from the support level using the falling wedge pattern. The image clearly shows that the volume decreases with the wedge formation, which is a sign of lower trading activity. However, once the price breaks above the SL level, the volume starts to rise. 

On the other hand, there is no guarantee that the price will come back to the support level after breaking above the falling wedge. In that case, traders can open the first buy entry immediately after the breakout, and the second entry after completing the correction.

Falling Wedge Patterns and Other Bullish Reversal Patterns

The falling wedge pattern is one of the bullish reversal patterns which form after downward pressure. However, there are many patterns which work like the falling wedge. Therefore, traders should know the key differences between the falling wedge and other patterns in order to better understand its trading accuracy.

Falling wedges and descending triangles look similar, and can confuse traders attempting to choose the correct pattern. The biggest similarity between the falling wedge and descending triangle is in their implications for price, allowing investors to understand what’s happening in the market and what might occur next. 

These patterns usually appear after a bearish trend and indicate that bulls and bears are both losing their momentum. However, the price direction after the two patterns isn’t the same. Any bearish breakout after a descending triangle increases the possibility that the existing bearish trend may continue.

, the price moves forward with lower highs forming, indicating that bulls are losing momentum. However, there are no lower lows formed, which signifies that sellers’ dominance remains unchanged. This repeated testing of the horizontal support indicates that the level is becoming weaker. Once the price moves below the descending triangle pattern, it will likely extend the existing bearish trend. 

Now, let’s move to the trading approach using the descending triangle pattern:

Based on the above example, let’s distinguish the key differences between the falling wedge and descending triangle:

 forms after a bullish trend, and moves lower by maintaining an equal distance between swing levels. It indicates that bulls are taking profits and they might continue the momentum. During the bull flag formation, the trading volume should dry up and push higher on the breakout. Identifying the bull flag in the price chart involves some complexity, as it contains several components. Traders need to have a clear understanding of bull flag components and trading approaches. 

Let’s look at the approach to trading with a bull flag pattern:

The above image represents the key differences between the bull flag and the falling wedge pattern. Although both of these patterns work as bullish trend continuations, there are some key differences that a trader should know:

While it’s difficult to find the ideal falling wedge pattern in perfect market conditions with cryptocurrency trading, investors can nevertheless apply the rules and concepts above to find lucrative trading opportunities.

Overall, falling wedge patterns are a great way to spot trend reversals and find profitable ways to buy before a new trend emerges. However, investors need to be aware of other factors that should be present to confirm the pattern. The key points that might help you to begin with this pattern are as follows:

Candlestick Patterns Professional Traders Use

 – A curated list of candlestick patterns most frequently used by traders

 – Learn the basics of candlestick patterns

 (Chart basics: trend, neckline, wedges)

Falling Wedge Patterns: How to Profit from Slowing Bearish Momentum

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