Phantom Wallet, with 7M monthly users, has integrated the Sui blockchain, marking its first support for a Move-based network and a significant step for Sui’s ecosystem. 

Daily Top Performer — Morpho Protocol (MORPHO)

The S&P 500 fell 0.19% as investors awaited the November jobs report, which may influence the Fed's anticipated rate cut. Coindesk Indices, an index measuring broader cryptocurrency market performance was up by 8.2%, with Bitcoin and Ether rising by 0.17% and 0.40%, respectively in the past 24 hours.

Today's top performer is MORPHO, which surged 54.0% following the launch of DeFi Saver's Automated Leverage Management for Morpho on Base.

Morpho Protocol (MORPHO), founded in 2021, is a decentralized Ethereum-based lending protocol that enhances crypto lending through a P2P order matching system. It allows customizable lending markets and features Morpho Vaults for various risk levels. Initially launched in 2022 with Morpho Optimizers for Aave and Compound, it later introduced Morpho Blue in 2024 for flexible lending markets. Morpho Labs continues to focus on developing Morpho while still supporting the original Morpho Optimizers. 

, enabling Automated Leverage Management. This includes Auto-Repays for unwinding and Auto-Boosts for leveraging up based on set threshold ratios. Users can configure their positions easily. The feature is available for several Morpho markets, such as cbETH/USDC, wstETH/USDC, and more, with additional markets to be added in the future.

Check Out the Latest Prices, Charts, and Data of 

Phantom Wallet, with 7M monthly users, has 

 the Sui blockchain, marking its first support for a Move-based network and a significant step for Sui’s ecosystem. This expands Phantom's multichain support beyond Solana, Bitcoin, and Ethereum, offering Sui users features like staking, swaps, and NFT storage across mobile and browser platforms.

Yesterday, BTC Spot ETF flows recorded a $148.8M outflow from GBTC, partially offset by a $145.0M inflow to non-GBTC funds, resulting in a net outflow of $3.8M.

" hints at a potential $FUEL airdrop happening earlier than expected, despite the Fuel points program running until January 2025. Speculation surrounds whether this refers to the airdrop or another development.

Beginner

2.png

Phantom Wallet Expands Multichain Support with Sui Integration

Our weekly crypto derivatives analytics report delves into macro events, the current state of crypto and trading signals from spot trading volume, and futures, options and perpetual contracts.

BTC has finally surpassed the $100K mark, leading to increased bullish positioning in derivatives markets. This reflects strong sentiment and a desire for upside exposure in perpetual swaps and futures. Short-term implied volatility has risen as traders seek options to capitalize on the rally.

Please check out the report’s highlights.

BTC's successful breach of the $100K barrier has led to a noticeable return of perpetual swap markets to all-time high open interest levels, although the response has been somewhat muted. Earlier in the week, perpetual swap markets shifted their focus to ETH after BTC's repeated failures to break through $100K. While funding rates for both derivatives remained high and positive, open interest in ETH contracts increased at the expense of BTC positions prior to the breakthrough. Additionally, ETH trade volumes have constituted a larger-than-usual market share.

BTC Calls See No Significant Influx Post-$100K

The sudden rise in spot prices has triggered a sharp increase in demand for short-tenor options, as traders seek exposure to the upward movement. BTC's term structure inversion has driven short-tenor implied volatility levels above realized volatility. Although implied volatility for BTC is lower than that of ETH, open interest data shows that the influx of call option open interest in BTC markets wasn’t as significant as for ETH. Nevertheless, BTC's volatility skew remains strongly bullish.

ETH's options market showed the most bullish positioning ahead of the overnight spot move, while the perpetual swap markets for both major cryptocurrencies reflected strong positive sentiment. Open interest is heavily weighted toward OTM calls, signaling a robust preference for upside exposure as realized volatility starts to catch up to implied volatility. This demand for upside exposure is evident for both tokens, particularly with ETH's remarkable increase in call option open interest over the past 24 hours.

Advanced

block-scholes-x-bybit-report.jpeg

Bybit X Block Scholes Crypto Derivatives Analytics Report (Dec 5, 2024): After BTC Turns $100K, Investors Are Still More Bullish on ETH

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing unprecedented growth, particularly in major assets like XRP, Cardano (ADA) and Stellar (XLM).

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing unprecedented growth, particularly in major assets like XRP, Cardano (ADA) and Stellar (XLM), whose tokens have seen substantial price increases (XRP up 444%, ADA 280% and XLM 512%). This surge is being driven largely by aggressive accumulation from whale investors, as well as cautious but optimistic sentiment in the crypto community. 

Meanwhile, interest in meme coins is declining as investors shift focus to more sustainable projects. The integration of AI in blockchain ecosystems and the emergence of hyperliquid token generation events (TGEs) are also reshaping market dynamics, indicating a transformative phase for cryptocurrencies.

Significant Growth in Major Cryptocurrencies

The report highlights impressive price increases for several major cryptocurrencies:

Despite these gains, general sentiment in the crypto community remains cautiously optimistic.

 activity is a key factor in current crypto market dynamics:

Since mid-October, there’s been considerable accumulation of Bitcoin by whale wallets, which have added a total of 91,856 BTC. This accumulation has played a substantial role in driving up BTC’s price.

In contrast, there’s been a decline in stablecoin holdings among these wallets, suggesting a strategic shift toward investing in cryptocurrencies, rather than choosing to hold stable assets.

The following several emerging trends are reshaping the cryptocurrency landscape.

Overall, our report underscores a transformative period in the cryptocurrency market, characterized by significant asset growth, strategic whale behavior and the integration of advanced technologies.

Intro to Santiment.png

Whales Accumulate Bitcoin as It Reached $100K; Emergence of AI Agent

Our monthly option volatility report delves into insights from options volatility to inspire your next crypto move.

Option volatility outlines a compelling narrative for Bitcoin as it approaches the $100K milestone. Leading up to the U.S. election on Nov 5, 2024, Bitcoin's implied volatility experienced a dramatic surge, with short-term implied volatility rising approximately 25 percentage points above post-election expirations. This spike indicated strong bullish positioning in the derivatives market as traders sought to capitalize on anticipated price movements driven by electoral outcomes.

In the immediate aftermath of the election, there was a sharp decline in short-term volatility, aligning with a rally in spot prices that, in turn, led to higher realized volatility. However, the decline in implied volatility didn’t reflect a long-term bearish sentiment — instead, it suggested a temporary easing of uncertainty regarding the election results. The term structure of implied volatility demonstrates a complex relationship: while short-term volatility dipped, longer-dated options remained stable above 50%.

The call/put skew indicates strong demand for bullish call options relative to bearish puts since the election, reflecting heightened upside exposure during BTC and ETH rallies. However, when BTC retraced to $91.3K, the skew shifted 6% toward puts, signaling bearish sentiment. This was inconsistent with futures markets, in which prices remained above spot levels, indicating ongoing bullishness. The skew toward OTM puts arose from increased demand for protective hedges, rather than from a lack of call interest. Ultimately, this suggests traders believe any sell-off would be temporary, supporting the idea that volatility is necessary in order for BTC to reach the $100K mark.

In contrast to Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH) has emerged as a more consistently bullish asset in recent weeks. While both BTC and ETH exhibited similar volatility patterns immediately following the election, Ether has shown notable resilience and increased momentum, particularly in the wake of Gary Gensler's resignation. This political shift has positively influenced ETH’s market dynamics, resulting in a stronger demand for ETH options.

Ether outperformed Bitcoin during critical market events, including both the election and ETF announcements in 2024. Following Gensler's resignation, ETH gained significant traction, with traders increasingly focusing on Ethereum as a more attractive investment. This shift is evident in the significant drops in the ratio of BTC-to-ETH spot price, indicating that traders are reallocating their preferences toward ETH.

The divergence in implied volatility between BTC and ETH options further underscores this trend, as the ratio of implied volatility for ETH options has surpassed that of BTC, reflecting a stronger demand for ETH optionality. Historically, ETH has exhibited higher volatility compared to Bitcoin. This recent uptick in ETH's implied volatility reestablishes the typical pattern of ETH commanding a premium in the options market.

Moreover, the skew in options pricing has shifted in favor of calls for both BTC and ETH, but ETH's skew has remained more robust. This suggests a stronger bullish sentiment for ETH, as traders are positioning more aggressively for its price appreciation compared to that of Bitcoin. As the market continues to evolve, Ethereum's increasing dominance and the bullish signals from its options market position it as a leading contender in the cryptocurrency landscape, making it likely to outperform Bitcoin in the near future.

Bybit Volatility Report banner.png

Bybit X Block Scholes Option Volatility Report: November Option Volatility Report: Volatility on the Road to $100K

Bybit 360

Options

Trading

Derivatives

Indicators

Strategies

Traders seem to expect BTC’s momentum could slow down a bit after the price hit over $97,000.

Bitcoin_Estimated_Leverage_Ratio_-_All_Exchanges.png

Options_Open_Interest_&_Volume.png

Perp_Open_Interest.png

Open_Interest_by_Stike.png

24_hr.png

Mark_Price_Implied_Volatility_(1).png

Positive sentiment has continued to fuel the cryptocurrency market as the expectation of further institutional adoption of 

 keeps growing. Options trading of BlackRock’s Spot Bitcoin ETF IBIT 

 with a bang, attracting almost $2 billion on the first day of trading. The hope of more spot ETF derivatives to change the market structure with additional institutional money onboarding crypto is high.

, we explored the possibility of the market being overleveraged, which could be painful if the current leverage unwinds. Data from CryptoQuant shows that the estimated leverage of the current BTC markets has reached another YTD high.

Derivatives data on Bybit shows that traders seem to expect that BTC’s momentum could slow down a bit after the price hit over $97,000, and are focusing more on downside protection.

Figure 1: Bitcoin estimated leverage ratio at 0.23. Source: CryptoQuant

BTC Options Open Interest Returns to Previous High While Perps Are Catching Up

Derivatives traders have been actively participating in BTC markets as 

 on Bybit has surged to over $3 billion, on par with the previous high on Nov 14, 2024. Although the options OI has increased, it still hasn’t surged above the previous high. At the time, BTC’s price had already jumped to over $97,000. If the OI doesn’t follow suit and break above the previous high in the coming days, this could be a sign that the market could become a bit exhausted — something for all market participants to be aware of.

Figure 2: Daily open interest for BTC options on Bybit. Source: Bybit

 have also seen increased open interest in recent days. Perpetuals have been among the most favorable products for day traders and short-term speculators. Rising open interest could indicate that more traders are looking for short-term profit, which could bring additional volatility to the market. 

Figure 3: Daily open interest for BTCUSDT Perpetuals on Bybit. Source: Bybit

Dec 27, 2024 remains the most popular expiration date for BTC Options on Bybit, with most of the open interest there. Within that expiration, $120,000 calls had the most OI, and $100,000 calls accumulated the second-largest OI. 

Figure 4: Open interest by strike for BTC Options with a Dec 27, 2024 expiration. Source: Bybit

Meanwhile, the market’s optimism that BTC will hit $100,000 by the end of the year seems to support the current price momentum. Shorter-dated options could show that traders are also looking for downside protection. The Bybit 

 page shows that BTC Options with a Nov 29, 2024 expiration have a strong 24-hour inflow to $90,000 puts. This could indicate that some traders are also anticipating some degree of price correction by the end of the month. 

Figure 5: 24-hour volume by strike for BTC Options with a Nov 29, 2024 expiration on Bybit. Source: Bybit

 for BTC Options on Bybit also indicates a possible downside protection in play among options traders. A smirk skew, or left skew, is a skew curve that’s steeper on one side (the left side) than the other. Traditionally, a smirk skew curve could mean that traders have been protecting their portfolios against a possible declining market. At the time of this writing (Nov 21, 2024), BTC Options contracts on Bybit with Nov 29, 2024 and Dec 27, 2024 expirations have both shown a smirk skew. However, this doesn’t necessarily mean traders are bearish on the price, and could just be part of the trading strategy. For example, traders could set up collars by buying out-of-the-money (OTM) puts and selling OTM calls simultaneously, so that they can profit in case BTC’s price drops, gain upside exposure and potentially offset the cost of buying the puts. 

Figure 6: Implied volatility of BTC Options with Nov 29, 2024 and Dec 27, 2024 expirations. Source: Bybit

The current BTC leverage trading may be complex, but tells a revealing narrative about market sentiment. The divergence between high leverage and increased hedging activities also reminds us that market dynamics are rarely straightforward, and adopting a 

 seems increasingly important in this diverse market.

: Investing in cryptocurrencies and their derivatives involves substantial risk of loss, and isn’t suitable for every investor. This article provides facts for educational purposes only, and does not represent any financial advice. Prior to making any investment decisions, please ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Our customer support team is available to assist you with any inquiries.

Learn From Smart Money: BTC’s Leverage Remains High as Traders Hedge Against Downside Risks

Grab Up to 5,000 USDT in Rewards

Grab Up to 5,000 USDT in Rewards